Category Archives: Review

Revisiting my 2015 NFL MOCK Draft

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Marcus Mariota could have been a Jet if the draft would have gone the way I thought.

 

By: Elias McMillan

Five years ago, I posted a review of the very first NFL Mock Draft I did back in 2011. I thought it would be interesting to see which selections ended up working out and which ones I was dead wrong on. As the 2020 draft approaches, I decided to do pretty much the same thing again but with my 2015 Mock Draft. How much different would the NFL landscape look if that draft would of went the way I saw it? Lets see.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

      My Pick: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State

            Actual Pick: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State

Well, I got the first pick correct. Winston, coming off a National Championship at Florida State, was linked to the Bucs immediately as the draft process started. The Florida native, despite being linked to many allegations and controversies, was the top pick for Tampa in this draft and he went on to lead the Buccaneers’ offense for the last five years. He maybe a bit of a problem child and a turnover machine but he leaves Tampa this offseason holding many franchise passing records. I would say that this selection paid off for Tampa even with the lack of team success in the post season.

  1. Tennessee Titans

            My Pick: Leonard Williams, DT, USC

            Actual Pick: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon

I guess I was thinking that Tennessee wouldn’t reach for a QB and just take the best player available. Leonard was hyped coming out of SC as one of the top players in the PAC-12. I thought he would have been the safer pick for the Titans who instead went QB. Mariota had some great moments early in his career but consistency became an issue, leaving him to be dumped by the Titans this offseason. Williams has made one Pro Bowl in his career but though he wasn’t taken here, he was a top ten pick.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars

  My Pick: Dante Fowler Jr., DE, Florida

            Actual Pick: Dante Fowler Jr., DE, Florida

Two for three to start. Not bad. This edge rusher had to rebound from an ACL injury to start his career but eventually turned into a player that helped “Sacksonville” to return to North Florida. After some disagreements with the brass, he was shipped out but then helped his new team reach the Super Bowl in 2018.

  1. Oakland Raiders

   My Pick: Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama

            Actual Pick: Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama

I guess the beginning of this draft was easy to predict? Cooper was the top receiver in college football, playing for one of the top programs in the land. The selection paid dividends immediately for Oakland but Cooper’s stats began to fade in his third season. After being traded to Dallas, Cooper was able to regain his form and he signed a 100 million dollar contract to stay with the team a week ago.

  1. Washington

            My Pick: Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson

            Actual Pick: Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa

I thought Washington would go for the pass rusher out of Clemson. Instead, they went with a safe pick in Scherff who has started in every game he played in Washington and has earned Pro Bowl honors in 3 seasons. Beasley ended up having success in Atlanta for 6 seasons, leading the league in sacks in 2016.

6. New York Jets

     My Pick: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon

            Actual Pick: Leonard Williams, DT, USC

I basically swapped decisions from Tennessee and New York. But imagine what the Jets could have done with a young Mariota. It would have at least gave them some stability at that position. Williams, though talented, couldn’t stick with the Jets so they traded him across town to the Giants.

7. Chicago Bears

My Pick: Kevin White, WR, WVU

            Actual Pick: Kevin White, WR, WVU

This one was also easy to predict but has a tragic outcome. Kevin White had all the tools as a receiver coming out of West Virginia but just couldn’t stay healthy. He is now out of the league.

8. Atlanta Falcons

            My Pick: Alvin Dupree, OLB, Kentucky

            Actual Pick: Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson

I, at least, had the right idea for Atlanta. I knew they needed a pass rusher and I bet they were thrilled to take Beasley at 8. Dupree is talented but this would have been a reach.

9. New York Giants

  My Pick: Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa

            Actual Pick: Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami(Fl)

Right position, wrong player. Though, I’m sure NY would have taken Scherff if he was available at 9. Instead, they took Flowers who quickly flamed out but is trying to reclaim his career at guard with the Dolphins.

10. St. Louis Rams

        My Pick: La’el Collins, OT, LSU

            Actual Pick: Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia

I obviously wrote this Mock before it was revealed that Collins was a suspect in a MURDER investigation which caused him to fall out of the draft completely. Todd Gurley ended up being successful as one of the league’s leading rushers in terms of yards and scores. Slowed by injuries recently, he finds himself back home in Georgia in 2020 with the Falcons. Collins, after being cleared of all allegations, was signed by Dallas and is currently one of the best right tackles in the league.

11. Minnesota Vikings

            My Pick: DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville

            Actual Pick: Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State

In his five seasons as a Viking, Waynes put in solid work with a highly acclaimed Minnesota secondary. But I guess he never developed into a star and Minnesota decided to let him hit free agency. I thought they would have gone with Parker who is still with the team that originally drafted him.

12. Cleveland Browns

My Pick: Danny Shelton, DT, Washington

            Actual Pick:  Danny Shelton, DT, Washington

I thought I would have more misses. Shelton was held coming off a successful career as a Huskie. Then in Cleveland, he never really lived up to the hype and was shipped off to New England after 3 years. He actually posted the best numbers in his career last season and was able to sign a deal last week with Detroit.

13. New Orleans Saints

My Pick: Randy Gregory, OLB, Nebraska

            Actual Pick: Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford

Randy Gregory’s highlight reel from college displayed his elite speed, which made him a top prospect in this draft. But questions began to arise about his substance abuse issues and caused him to slip out of the first round completely. The Saints went with Peat who is currently an all-pro, protecting one of the league’s top passers.

14. Miami Dolphins

My Pick: Breshad Perriman, WR, Central Florida

            Actual Pick: DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville

Miami took their chance to draft the first receiver in the draft as Parker dropped to them at 14. Sparring used for whatever reason, Parker had a career season in 2019. Perriman was taken later in this first round.

15. San Diego Chargers

            My Pick: Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State

            Actual Pick: Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin

The Chargers traded up with San Francisco to bring Gordon to their backfield. Ironically, I had Gordon going to San Diego in my Mock but in the second round. Gordon’s career may have started slow but he had some productive years for the Chargers. After a strange 2019 that included a contract hold out, he’ll tote the rock for Denver this fall.

16. Houston Texans

    My Pick: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma

            Actual Pick: Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest

Green-Beckham was yet another prospect from this draft that saw his stock drop because of issues off the field. Don’t know if he was even considered for Houston at 16 but the Texans went with Johnson who had a limited impact during his time with the team. Green-Beckham was unable to stick in the league while Johnson is currently signed with Cleveland.

17. San Francisco 49ers

My Pick: Shane Ray, OLB, Missouri

            Actual Pick: Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon

I made this pick for the Chargers but they decided to move up for Gordon. With the Niners in this spot, they went with a defensive lineman that would help them solidify that unit up front for years. Ray was one of the top pass rushers coming out of the SEC but couldn’t stick with the team that drafted him. He’s currently a free agent.

18. Kansas City Chiefs

My Pick: Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State

            Actual Pick: Marcus Peters, CB, Washington

I was way off on this one as Strong wasn’t selected until the 3rd round. Peters turned out to be a good player for the Chiefs but was also volatile and disruptive. The talented corner was traded out of KC to LA and traded AGAIN to Baltimore where they locked him up on a multi-year deal. In five seasons, Peters has totaled 27 interceptions. Strong totaled 31 receptions in three seasons for Houston and later Jacksonville.

19. Cleveland Browns

    My Pick: Cameron Erving, OL, Florida State

            Actual Pick: Cameron Erving, OL, Florida State

Crazy how Cleveland had two first rounders eight spots apart and I was able to predict both of them. Drafted as a Center, Erving was an unique prospect that played multiple position on the offensive line but couldn’t stick in Cleveland. He was traded to Kansas City in 2017 but won a Super Bowl title with them as their starting left guard.

20. Philadelphia Eagles

My Pick: Landon Collins, S, Alabama

            Actual Pick: Nelson Agholor, WR, USC

I was wrong on the pick but I’ll like to think Philly wishes they would have selected differently. Collins went in the second round to the rival Giants where he became a All-Pro safety. Agholor couldn’t keep his footing in the city of brotherly love where he developed his rep as a guy with bad hands. Had a 8-touchdown season two years ago. Now, he’ll catch or drop passes in Las Vegas with the Raiders.

21. Cincinnati Bengals

My Pick: Eric Kendricks, LB, UCLA

            Actual Pick: Cedric Ogbuehi, OT, Texas A&M

Cincy could have gone away with the Vontez Burfict problem if they would have listened to me! I can’t believe that Kendricks lasted in this draft to the 2nd round. He turned out to be a great player for Minnesota. Ogbuehi has suffered in his career due to injuries. But he is still employed, playing in Jacksonville last season and signing a deal with Seattle in 2020.

22. Pittsburgh Steelers

       My Pick: Byron Jones, CB, Connecticut

            Actual Pick: Alvin Dupree, OLB, Kentucky

Byron Jones

I had Dupree drafted in the top ten so this was a steal for Pittsburgh. Dupree has had a shaky start to his career but Pittsburgh was patient with him and it paid off as he totaled 11plus sacks last year. I always mock a corner to the Steelers every year. Jones is currently the highest paid corner in league history so, I would imagine he would have worked out for Pittsburgh as well.

23. Denver Broncos

My Pick: Malcolm Brown, DT, Texas

            Actual Pick: Shane Ray, OLB, Missouri

This pick originally belonged to Detroit who I thought was looking to replace Ndamukong Suh. Instead, they traded down with Denver and they decided to pair the young SEC pass rusher with Von Miller and an aging DeMarcus Ware. I remember watching this at home and I couldn’t believe that Brown was dropping like this. I was excited because Dallas was picking at 27. Anyways, Brown ended being a beast for the team that drafted him.

24. Arizona Cardinals

My Pick: Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia

            Actual Pick: D.J. Humphries, OT Florida

Well, Gurley surprisingly went in the top ten so I didn’t know what the Cardinals were going to do. Humphries has fought off injuries in the desert and has turned out to be a good pick for Arizona, starting in every game he has played in. He resigned with the team for 45 million dollars last month.

  1. Carolina Panthers

My Pick: Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford

            Actual Pick: Shaq Thompson, LB, Washington

Peat turned out to be a good pick for the Saints earlier in this draft but Carolina also selected a quality player. Thompson hasn’t made a Pro Bowl yet but he made a grand addition to what Carolina already had at LB with Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis. With Kuechly and Thomas now gone, Thompson had a career year in 2019 and he has solidified his place as the leader of the Panthers defense.

  1. Baltimore Ravens

My Pick:  Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest

            Actual Pick: Breshad Perriman, WR, Central Florida

Johnson was taken earlier by Houston but has yet to really make an impact in the league. Instead, the Ravens went to receiver and selected Perriman out of UCF. In Baltimore, Perriman couldn’t overcome the injuries and ended up being passed along from there to Washington and to Cleveland. Last season in Tampa, he did catch 6 touchdowns, appearing in 14 games. He’ll be with the Jets in 2020.

27. Dallas Cowboys

   My Pick: Owamagbe Odighizuma, DE, UCLA

            Actual Pick: Byron Jones, CB, Connecticut

I might go long on his one. First off, if I had known that Malcolm Brown from OU was still going to be available, he would have been the pick. Second off, I was waaaay off on this pick for Dallas. I guess I was watching film on Eric Kendricks and saw this other guy on UCLA’s defense making plays. Odighizuma fit the mold for a traditional defensive end in a 4-3 defense. But he would have been a reach and Dallas should have just taken the best player available. I guess, I learned a valuable lesson in 2015 about drafting the BPA over drafting for need. Odighizuma, selected in the THIRD round, is now out of football. Byron Jones was drafted to play free safety, a ball hawking safety. Instead, he was terrible in zone but did well in man-to-man against tight ends. Also, if you play safety, you have to tackle. Jones, an Olympic quality athlete, was not the type of player to lower the boom. After THREE years of experimenting with him at safety, someone finally had the bright idea to move him into corner where he excelled in man-to-man situations, earning him Pro Bowl honors. In five seasons, he has totaled TWO interceptions and Miami decided to give him a boat load of money this offseason. The end.

  1. Detroit Lions

    My Pick: D.J. Humphries, OT Florida

            Actual Pick: Laken Tomlinson, G, Duke

I drafted Humphries for Denver who ended up trading up. Detroit was still thinking offensive line help. Tomlinson couldn’t stick in Detroit for whatever reason but the 49ers traded for him in 2017 and he started for the team in the Super Bowl last month.

  1. Indianapolis Colts

         My Pick: Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon

            Actual Pick: Phillip Dorsett, WR, Miami(Fl)

Armstead didn’t make it down to 29 but the Colts ended up with his college teammate, DeForest Buckner, five years later. Phillip Dorsett was an exciting pick at the time for the Colts. With Andrew Luck at QB, Dorsett was met to be a great compliment to T.Y. Hilton at WR. Instead, he was traded for Jacoby Dorsett in 2017 but was apart of a Super Bowl winning team with the Patriots in 2018. He is currently a free agent.

  1. Green Bay Packers

My Pick: Benardrick McKinney, LB, Mississippi State

            Actual Pick: Damarious Randall, S, Arizona State

The Packers could have went with McKinney who ended up being an All-Pro for Houston. Instead, they went safety with Randall and had mixed results. Randall was actually productive with Green Bay but they ended up trading him before the 2018 season. Randall was sent to Cleveland and is now a free agent.

31. New Orleans Saints

My Pick: Maxx Williams, TE, Minnesota

            Actual Pick: Stephone Anthony, LB, Clemson

Anthony was a great athlete out of Clemson but he couldn’t stay healthy and he was traded off to Miami years later. He is currently out of the league. I thought the Saints would go tight end at the end of the first round. Maxx Williams was highly touted coming out of Minnesota but did very little, being drafted in the 2nd round by Baltimore.

32. New England Patriots

My Pick: Marcus Peters, CB, Washington

            Actual Pick: Malcolm Brown, DT, Texas

Malcom-Brown-Rob-Carr-2It would have been so “Patriots” if they had drafted the troubled Peters coming out of Washington. Controversial young player gets straighten out and learns the championship way from Bill Belichick. It would have been so “them”. Instead, they made the obvious decision and took Brown who should have gone in the top 20. Brown went on to be an anchor on the Patriots defensive line, having apart of two Super Bowl winning defenses. And then, despite having success with him, the Patriots throw him away to New Orleans in a trade and he is still a beast. I still can’t believe Dallas took Byron Jones over him in this draft.

Loud Mouth Snooks – March 19

By: Elias McMillan

On this episode of Loud Mouth Snooks, Jordan Thompson and I discuss this strange new world with COVID-19 the Coronavirus. I forget how to talk, Jordan cancels his show, I rant about new Las Vegas Raider Jason Witten, and some other NFL things are discussed.

Loud Mouth Snooks – March 13 aka #MarchSadness

By: Elias McMillan

Listen to me ramble on about the Coronavirus Pandemic and how sad I am about not being able to watch sports ball. Meanwhile, people are in danger of being really sick or dying. MESSAGE! Also, I talk about the great time I had at the NEC Championship game on the RMU Campus. 😛

Loud Mouth Snooks – February 27

The dynamic duo returns. From where? Who knows.

By: Elias McMillan

Elias reunites with his college broadcast partner to discuss Penn State sports, the NFL Combine, and the Eagles/Cowboys rivalry. Also, Elias complains about a rude customer service encounter and talks sneakers.

NFL 2019: Random Divisional Thoughts & a Pre-Season Super Bowl Prediction

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Can Drew Brees and the Saints finally make a return to the Super Bowl this season?

By: Elias McMillan

Before we start the season this weekend, here are some of my random thoughts about the goings on in each division. Plus, I’ll include my always-wrong pre-season Super Bowl prediction.

NFC East

The biggest topic in Dallas this offseason has been the contract situations for the team’s youngest stars. As a Cowboys fan, my attitude about this has remained unchanged: I don’t care. Lets just win a championship. Jerry Jones has handed out extensions to a couple of guys already but as I type this, the Ezekiel Elliott deal hasn’t been completed yet. I’ve never been too worried about this situation and I’ve always been sure that Elliott would not sit out the season. Elliott is the most important player on the roster and he deserves the money. But as Mr. Jones said earlier this offseason, you do not need a rushing champion to win a championship. And he’s absolutely right. But if that’s the case, why draft a guy like Elliott 4thoverall? Why then proceed to build the entire offense around that position? The bottom line is that for Dallas to compete for a championship this year, they are going to need the defense to repeat what they did last season and for Dak Prescott to play above average football. Now, Zeke can win you ballgames but for Dallas to go far, I believe both of those things will play a factor. And no matter what fans or analysts say, this division will be a dogfight. It always is. Philly probably has the best roster in the division from top to bottom. No one is expecting much from Wash or NYG but that could potentially make them dangerous. I believe it will come down to Philly and Dallas but this division will definitely will not be a cakewalk.

NFC North

It’s going to be interesting to see how Chicago deals with success. The target in this division is now on their back. I just don’t think Green Bay or Detroit has enough to compete with them this year. That leaves Minnesota who returns with a talented roster and a chip on their shoulder after disappointing last year. Chicago’s defense will be elite again with LB Khalil Mack but the difference maker on this team will have to come from their offense. QB Mitch Trubisky must continue to progress. Minnesota has the talent on both sides of the ball to over take Chicago this year. They just have to stay healthy and QB Kirk Cousins has to perform well in big spots.

NFC South

Despite all of their recent failures in the playoffs, the championship window is still open in New Orleans. The Saints are deep with talent and experience and they are my favorite in the conference. I think Carolina will be improved this season and they will make the playoffs. Though, I’m already concerned with the health of Cam Newton. I don’t think Newton knows how to play differently in terms of body conservation. We all know he can do amazing things on the run but recently, they has placed his health at risk. I hope Newton’s shoulder is healed from a season ago and he can show once again what he can do with his arm. I’m rooting for Bruce Arians in Tampa. He’s a good coach and he’s surrounded himself with a good staff. It’s going to take some time for him to right the ship in Tampa and I hope the organization gives him that time.

NFC West

I don’t think the Jadaveon Clowney trade changes much in this division but it definitely makes Seattle a better football team. The Seahawks might have a defense now as good as they had during their Super Bowl runs. It will be up to Russell Wilson and the passing game to do enough even though they will be leaning on some inexperience at the WR position. QB Jimmy Garoppolo has received mixed reviews in the preseason. It would be a shame if he doesn’t pan out this season for the 49ers. I think San Fran has the pieces to be the next dominant defense in this division. But they won’t do much winning if the offense doesn’t produce. Garoppolo will be under a lot of pressure in 2019. Not to mention that LA, Arizona, and now Seattle all have elite pass rushers.

AFC East

Head coach Brian Flores won’t admit it but it’s true: the Miami Dolphins are tanking. The trading away of expensive veterans would have made sense months ago but to do so just days before the season sends a very clear message. I feel bad for QB Josh Rosen. Though he is not starting, he now walks into another tough situation in Miami. It will be interesting to see if the remade Jets are improved this year. If not, it looks like New England will walk right into another division title.

AFC North

The time to talk in Cleveland is over. All the hype means nothing now. They are 0-0. It’s hard to disappoint when you only won 7 games last season but it sounds like anything but a playoff berth for the Browns will be deemed as so. As I said before, Cleveland must crawl before they can walk. For me, crawling will be showing that they can 8 games. I think Pittsburgh is going to be super motivated at least for the beginning of the season. I think the lost of AB and the lack of talent will catch to them eventually this season. It could be around Week 7 or if they meet New England in the post season. Per usual.

AFC South

Houston is getting dragged by fans and critics for the Clowney trade, but now they are suddenly the favorites in this division. Without Clowney, they still have JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilus to provide a pass rush. And the trade for Laremy Tunsil will upgrade the offensive line that looked awful in the preseason. I wouldn’t count Indianapolis out in this division as well. I think the team will rally around QB Jacoby Brissett and play some good ball. What also caught my attention in the preseason in this division: Jaguars rookie LB Josh Allen. He has looked beastly at times and Jacksonville’s defense could make a return to dominance with him in the fold. The Luck retirement has made the race in the AFC South very interesting and this is before a single game has been played.

AFC West

I really liked the Chargers going into this season but the Derwin James injury is an absolute killer. I think LA will still be able to compete in this division but they lost one of the top talents with that injury. Kansas City has been a question mark with me this offseason because of the Tyreek Hill and Kareem Hunt situations. But Hill has been made available and the Chiefs’ backfield looks really solid now with the signing of Shady McCoy. The Chiefs offense will be scary once again in 2019.

Super Bowl LIV Prediction

Well, if we learned anything last year, its that New England reign at the top isn’t over yet no matter how badly we all want it to be. The Pats will once again walk thru the AFC East and skate past all comers in January. New Orleans looks like the class of the NFC going into 2019. But as good as they look, we all know the result if they meet Brady and the Pats in Miami early February. Prediction: Patriots over Saints

NFL 2018: Week 17 Predictions

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All eyes on Sunday will be on Cleveland’s rookie QB, Baker Mayfield.

By: Elias McMillan

 

Last Week: 11-5

Season: 138-100-2

Week 17 Picks

Bills over Dolphins – Buffalo gives DT Kyle Williams a hero’s send off into retirement.

Packers over Lions – This meaningless game will be highlighted by Aaron Rodgers, I guess.

Patriots over Jets – New England still needs to lock up that first round bye in the playoffs. They’ll put their best foot forward against a competitive Jets team.

Saints over Panthers – Teddy Bridgewater will hope to have a strong game as he auditions for a potential job elsewhere.

Giants over Cowboys – Dallas can’t improve their seeding in the NFC. I think New York will win it late against the Cowboys’ backups.

Falcons over Buccaneers – Atlanta’s defense will strive against a Tampa Bay offense that turns over the ball too much.

Texans over Jaguars – Houston is still in play for a potential bye in the post season.

Chargers over Broncos – LA was bullied last week. They’ll need a strong performance this week to put that Baltimore loss in the past. Also, the AFC West crown is still up for grabs.

Chiefs over Raiders – KC needs this one to lock up the AFC West in what could be a high scoring affair.

Rams over 49ers – No Todd Gurley worries me for LA. San Francisco has played decently at times late this season. I still like LA in this match up but don’t be surprised if the Niners make things interesting.

Vikings over Bears – I thought Minnesota would falter on the road last week. This week, I think they’ll clinch the final playoff spot in the NFC. Minnesota has been a stronger team at home. Chicago may want to knock Minnesota out this Sunday but they might be better off facing a familiar opponent in the wildcard round.

Steelers over Bengals – Pittsburgh needs help to get into the playoffs but in terms of this week’s game, they should roll against the 2ndstring of the Bengals.

Seahawks over Cardinals – Seattle may rest their starters but that may not even matter. Arizona will lock up the first overall pick in next April’s draft.

Eagles over Washington – The way Philadelphia has rallied behind Nick Foles is reminiscent of last season. Too bad they won’t make the post season.

Ravens over Browns – Baltimore has only lost once since their bye week. If the Ravens defense shows up like they did last week, Bayer Mayfield will be in for a world of hurt.

Colts over Titans – With the final playoff spot in the AFC on the line, I’m going with the healthiest team. Marcus Mariota will try to give it a go on Sunday but I doubt that he’ll be able to play the entire 60 minutes. I like Andrew Luck and the Colts on the road.

NFL 2018: Week 4 Predictions

USP NFL: PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEE S FBN TB PIT USA FL

Everything’s all good in Steel Town now that they’ve got their first victory of 2018, right?

By: Elias McMillan

 

Last Week: 6-10

Season: 22-24-2

Big Five Games of the Week

Minnesota @ LA Rams – The Vikings absolutely laid an egg at home last week against a terrible Buffalo team. But I believe they can bounce back this week even on the road against a good LA Rams team. The Rams have significant injuries in their secondary and I believe this will give Kirk Cousins full range in terms of attack them through the air. LA’s offense is pretty capable as well but I just think Minnesota will be anxious to get the bad taste from Week 3 out of their system. Winner: Vikings

Miami @ New England – New England had their annual early season “are they done” loss last week. The Patriots will obviously bounce back. But not enough people are talking about this undefeated Miami Dolphins team. They are proving that addition by subtraction can work out if you look at the changes that they’ve made in the offseason, which are now paying off. New England’s defense is struggling right now and I believe that Miami’s offense is capable of attack them through the ground and in the air. Instead of bouncing back at home, I think New England will lose their second straight. Winner: Dolphins

New Orleans @ NY Giants – The Giants finally got a win last week but I think that may have said more about Houston than about them. New Orleans has been apart of a close finish in each game this week. This tells me that their defense needs fixed. I think the Giants will be able to put up points against this team but I don’t think that will be enough for them to win. If they are able to go “tit-for-tat” offensively, I’ll still bet on the Saints to win another close one. Winner: Saints

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh – The Steelers finally won last week so everything’s all-good in Yinzer land. Right? Hardly. Pittsburgh’s defense is poor and they almost blew a 20-point lead last week in the second half. I think Baltimore coming to town will be a good thing for them because they should know what to expect. These games are usually a tough-drag ‘em out type of contest. Everyone knows about Pittsburgh’s struggles on defense but I don’t think the Ravens offense is good enough to exploit it. I am looking at you, Joe Flacco. I wonder if the Baltimore defense will be able to make enough stops against a Pittsburgh offense that has so many ways to beat you. The road team typically has the tougher up hill climb in these matchups. Winner: Steelers

Kansas City @ Denver – Patrick Mahomes is the talk of the NFL right now and the lights will be extra bright on him and the Chiefs offense on Monday night. I’m looking forward to see how this kid deals with being chased by Von Miller for 4 quarters. Going into the 2018 season, I believed that Kansas City would take a step back this year because of their defense. The good news is that I don’t see Denver’s offense being able to push the issue against them especially since Case Keenum will be tasked with out dueling the hottest QB in the league currently. Playing at Mile-High can prove to be a challenge but I believe Mahomes and the gang will be up for it. Winner: Chiefs

The Rest of Week 4

Falcons over Bengals – Rookie WR Calvin Ridley is starting to become an x-factor for the Atlanta offense.

Bears over Buccaneers – Ryan Fitzpatrick will continue to fall back down to earth against a Chicago defense that will get after him. Winston will be the starter when Tampa returns from the bye week in Week 6.

Lions over Cowboys – I’m buying into Detroit’s performance last week but Dallas is a team that cannot score points. Last time I checked, you have to score points to win.

Packers over Bills – Green Bay is not a good team. Buffalo and especially rookie QB Josh Allen would definitely have my attention if they were able to win in Green Bay.

Eagles over Titans – I like Philly here in a low scoring affair. Tennessee is close to being down two quarterbacks. I think Carson Wentz will continue to feel more comfortable back in the lineup.

Colts over Texans – The talk in Texas maybe about the Cowboys’ struggles but what in the world is going on in Houston? Deshaun Watson, J.J. Watt, Clowney, Hopkins, Lamar Miller. They are all healthy. Yet, Houston is winless. The hot seat will be on coach Bill O’Brien real soon if they go to 0-4.

Jaguars over Jets – Jacksonville is a good team that just can’t beat Tennessee. It makes no sense but it’s true.

Browns over Raiders – I like Bayer Mayfield to keep Jon Gruden’s Raiders winless in a road upset.

Seahawks over Cardinals – Arizona made the right decision benching Sam Bradford for the rookie Josh Rosen. But this Cardinals team doesn’t look like they are in shape to compete this year.

Chargers over 49ers – The Jimmy Garoppolo injury has taken the air out of the entire season for San Francisco.

Fantasy Picks of the Week

QB: Phillip Rivers (Chargers) – Rivers should have plenty of opportunities against the 49ers that might have trouble scoring points themselves.

RB: Kenyan Drake (Dolphins) – Many are waiting on a breakout out game from Drake. It could come this week in New England.

WR: Odell Beckham Jr. (Giants) – The New Orleans secondary is back to being bad. That should be good news for New York’s top receiving target.

TE: Travis Kelce (Chiefs) – Kelce is pretty reliable is playing with house money with how well the Chiefs offense is operating.

DEF: Jacksonville – I like the Jaguars defense to limit rookie QB Sam Darnold this week.