Marcus Mariota could have been a Jet if the draft would have gone the way I thought.
By: Elias McMillan
Five years ago, I posted a review of the very first NFL Mock Draft I did back in 2011. I thought it would be interesting to see which selections ended up working out and which ones I was dead wrong on. As the 2020 draft approaches, I decided to do pretty much the same thing again but with my 2015 Mock Draft. How much different would the NFL landscape look if that draft would of went the way I saw it? Lets see.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
My Pick: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State
Actual Pick: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State
Well, I got the first pick correct. Winston, coming off a National Championship at Florida State, was linked to the Bucs immediately as the draft process started. The Florida native, despite being linked to many allegations and controversies, was the top pick for Tampa in this draft and he went on to lead the Buccaneers’ offense for the last five years. He maybe a bit of a problem child and a turnover machine but he leaves Tampa this offseason holding many franchise passing records. I would say that this selection paid off for Tampa even with the lack of team success in the post season.
- Tennessee Titans
My Pick: Leonard Williams, DT, USC
Actual Pick: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon
I guess I was thinking that Tennessee wouldn’t reach for a QB and just take the best player available. Leonard was hyped coming out of SC as one of the top players in the PAC-12. I thought he would have been the safer pick for the Titans who instead went QB. Mariota had some great moments early in his career but consistency became an issue, leaving him to be dumped by the Titans this offseason. Williams has made one Pro Bowl in his career but though he wasn’t taken here, he was a top ten pick.
- Jacksonville Jaguars
My Pick: Dante Fowler Jr., DE, Florida
Actual Pick: Dante Fowler Jr., DE, Florida
Two for three to start. Not bad. This edge rusher had to rebound from an ACL injury to start his career but eventually turned into a player that helped “Sacksonville” to return to North Florida. After some disagreements with the brass, he was shipped out but then helped his new team reach the Super Bowl in 2018.
- Oakland Raiders
My Pick: Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama
Actual Pick: Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama
I guess the beginning of this draft was easy to predict? Cooper was the top receiver in college football, playing for one of the top programs in the land. The selection paid dividends immediately for Oakland but Cooper’s stats began to fade in his third season. After being traded to Dallas, Cooper was able to regain his form and he signed a 100 million dollar contract to stay with the team a week ago.
My Pick: Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson
Actual Pick: Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa
I thought Washington would go for the pass rusher out of Clemson. Instead, they went with a safe pick in Scherff who has started in every game he played in Washington and has earned Pro Bowl honors in 3 seasons. Beasley ended up having success in Atlanta for 6 seasons, leading the league in sacks in 2016.
6. New York Jets
My Pick: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon
Actual Pick: Leonard Williams, DT, USC
I basically swapped decisions from Tennessee and New York. But imagine what the Jets could have done with a young Mariota. It would have at least gave them some stability at that position. Williams, though talented, couldn’t stick with the Jets so they traded him across town to the Giants.
7. Chicago Bears
My Pick: Kevin White, WR, WVU
Actual Pick: Kevin White, WR, WVU
This one was also easy to predict but has a tragic outcome. Kevin White had all the tools as a receiver coming out of West Virginia but just couldn’t stay healthy. He is now out of the league.
8. Atlanta Falcons
My Pick: Alvin Dupree, OLB, Kentucky
Actual Pick: Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson
I, at least, had the right idea for Atlanta. I knew they needed a pass rusher and I bet they were thrilled to take Beasley at 8. Dupree is talented but this would have been a reach.
9. New York Giants
My Pick: Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa
Actual Pick: Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami(Fl)
Right position, wrong player. Though, I’m sure NY would have taken Scherff if he was available at 9. Instead, they took Flowers who quickly flamed out but is trying to reclaim his career at guard with the Dolphins.
10. St. Louis Rams
My Pick: La’el Collins, OT, LSU
Actual Pick: Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia
I obviously wrote this Mock before it was revealed that Collins was a suspect in a MURDER investigation which caused him to fall out of the draft completely. Todd Gurley ended up being successful as one of the league’s leading rushers in terms of yards and scores. Slowed by injuries recently, he finds himself back home in Georgia in 2020 with the Falcons. Collins, after being cleared of all allegations, was signed by Dallas and is currently one of the best right tackles in the league.
11. Minnesota Vikings
My Pick: DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville
Actual Pick: Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State
In his five seasons as a Viking, Waynes put in solid work with a highly acclaimed Minnesota secondary. But I guess he never developed into a star and Minnesota decided to let him hit free agency. I thought they would have gone with Parker who is still with the team that originally drafted him.
12. Cleveland Browns
My Pick: Danny Shelton, DT, Washington
Actual Pick: Danny Shelton, DT, Washington
I thought I would have more misses. Shelton was held coming off a successful career as a Huskie. Then in Cleveland, he never really lived up to the hype and was shipped off to New England after 3 years. He actually posted the best numbers in his career last season and was able to sign a deal last week with Detroit.
13. New Orleans Saints
My Pick: Randy Gregory, OLB, Nebraska
Actual Pick: Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford
Randy Gregory’s highlight reel from college displayed his elite speed, which made him a top prospect in this draft. But questions began to arise about his substance abuse issues and caused him to slip out of the first round completely. The Saints went with Peat who is currently an all-pro, protecting one of the league’s top passers.
14. Miami Dolphins
My Pick: Breshad Perriman, WR, Central Florida
Actual Pick: DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville
Miami took their chance to draft the first receiver in the draft as Parker dropped to them at 14. Sparring used for whatever reason, Parker had a career season in 2019. Perriman was taken later in this first round.
15. San Diego Chargers
My Pick: Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State
Actual Pick: Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin
The Chargers traded up with San Francisco to bring Gordon to their backfield. Ironically, I had Gordon going to San Diego in my Mock but in the second round. Gordon’s career may have started slow but he had some productive years for the Chargers. After a strange 2019 that included a contract hold out, he’ll tote the rock for Denver this fall.
16. Houston Texans
My Pick: Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma
Actual Pick: Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest
Green-Beckham was yet another prospect from this draft that saw his stock drop because of issues off the field. Don’t know if he was even considered for Houston at 16 but the Texans went with Johnson who had a limited impact during his time with the team. Green-Beckham was unable to stick in the league while Johnson is currently signed with Cleveland.
17. San Francisco 49ers
My Pick: Shane Ray, OLB, Missouri
Actual Pick: Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon
I made this pick for the Chargers but they decided to move up for Gordon. With the Niners in this spot, they went with a defensive lineman that would help them solidify that unit up front for years. Ray was one of the top pass rushers coming out of the SEC but couldn’t stick with the team that drafted him. He’s currently a free agent.
18. Kansas City Chiefs
My Pick: Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State
Actual Pick: Marcus Peters, CB, Washington
I was way off on this one as Strong wasn’t selected until the 3rd round. Peters turned out to be a good player for the Chiefs but was also volatile and disruptive. The talented corner was traded out of KC to LA and traded AGAIN to Baltimore where they locked him up on a multi-year deal. In five seasons, Peters has totaled 27 interceptions. Strong totaled 31 receptions in three seasons for Houston and later Jacksonville.
19. Cleveland Browns
My Pick: Cameron Erving, OL, Florida State
Actual Pick: Cameron Erving, OL, Florida State
Crazy how Cleveland had two first rounders eight spots apart and I was able to predict both of them. Drafted as a Center, Erving was an unique prospect that played multiple position on the offensive line but couldn’t stick in Cleveland. He was traded to Kansas City in 2017 but won a Super Bowl title with them as their starting left guard.
20. Philadelphia Eagles
My Pick: Landon Collins, S, Alabama
Actual Pick: Nelson Agholor, WR, USC
I was wrong on the pick but I’ll like to think Philly wishes they would have selected differently. Collins went in the second round to the rival Giants where he became a All-Pro safety. Agholor couldn’t keep his footing in the city of brotherly love where he developed his rep as a guy with bad hands. Had a 8-touchdown season two years ago. Now, he’ll catch or drop passes in Las Vegas with the Raiders.
21. Cincinnati Bengals
My Pick: Eric Kendricks, LB, UCLA
Actual Pick: Cedric Ogbuehi, OT, Texas A&M
Cincy could have gone away with the Vontez Burfict problem if they would have listened to me! I can’t believe that Kendricks lasted in this draft to the 2nd round. He turned out to be a great player for Minnesota. Ogbuehi has suffered in his career due to injuries. But he is still employed, playing in Jacksonville last season and signing a deal with Seattle in 2020.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers
My Pick: Byron Jones, CB, Connecticut
Actual Pick: Alvin Dupree, OLB, Kentucky
I had Dupree drafted in the top ten so this was a steal for Pittsburgh. Dupree has had a shaky start to his career but Pittsburgh was patient with him and it paid off as he totaled 11plus sacks last year. I always mock a corner to the Steelers every year. Jones is currently the highest paid corner in league history so, I would imagine he would have worked out for Pittsburgh as well.
23. Denver Broncos
My Pick: Malcolm Brown, DT, Texas
Actual Pick: Shane Ray, OLB, Missouri
This pick originally belonged to Detroit who I thought was looking to replace Ndamukong Suh. Instead, they traded down with Denver and they decided to pair the young SEC pass rusher with Von Miller and an aging DeMarcus Ware. I remember watching this at home and I couldn’t believe that Brown was dropping like this. I was excited because Dallas was picking at 27. Anyways, Brown ended being a beast for the team that drafted him.
24. Arizona Cardinals
My Pick: Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia
Actual Pick: D.J. Humphries, OT Florida
Well, Gurley surprisingly went in the top ten so I didn’t know what the Cardinals were going to do. Humphries has fought off injuries in the desert and has turned out to be a good pick for Arizona, starting in every game he has played in. He resigned with the team for 45 million dollars last month.
- Carolina Panthers
My Pick: Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford
Actual Pick: Shaq Thompson, LB, Washington
Peat turned out to be a good pick for the Saints earlier in this draft but Carolina also selected a quality player. Thompson hasn’t made a Pro Bowl yet but he made a grand addition to what Carolina already had at LB with Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis. With Kuechly and Thomas now gone, Thompson had a career year in 2019 and he has solidified his place as the leader of the Panthers defense.
- Baltimore Ravens
My Pick: Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest
Actual Pick: Breshad Perriman, WR, Central Florida
Johnson was taken earlier by Houston but has yet to really make an impact in the league. Instead, the Ravens went to receiver and selected Perriman out of UCF. In Baltimore, Perriman couldn’t overcome the injuries and ended up being passed along from there to Washington and to Cleveland. Last season in Tampa, he did catch 6 touchdowns, appearing in 14 games. He’ll be with the Jets in 2020.
27. Dallas Cowboys
My Pick: Owamagbe Odighizuma, DE, UCLA
Actual Pick: Byron Jones, CB, Connecticut
I might go long on his one. First off, if I had known that Malcolm Brown from OU was still going to be available, he would have been the pick. Second off, I was waaaay off on this pick for Dallas. I guess I was watching film on Eric Kendricks and saw this other guy on UCLA’s defense making plays. Odighizuma fit the mold for a traditional defensive end in a 4-3 defense. But he would have been a reach and Dallas should have just taken the best player available. I guess, I learned a valuable lesson in 2015 about drafting the BPA over drafting for need. Odighizuma, selected in the THIRD round, is now out of football. Byron Jones was drafted to play free safety, a ball hawking safety. Instead, he was terrible in zone but did well in man-to-man against tight ends. Also, if you play safety, you have to tackle. Jones, an Olympic quality athlete, was not the type of player to lower the boom. After THREE years of experimenting with him at safety, someone finally had the bright idea to move him into corner where he excelled in man-to-man situations, earning him Pro Bowl honors. In five seasons, he has totaled TWO interceptions and Miami decided to give him a boat load of money this offseason. The end.
- Detroit Lions
My Pick: D.J. Humphries, OT Florida
Actual Pick: Laken Tomlinson, G, Duke
I drafted Humphries for Denver who ended up trading up. Detroit was still thinking offensive line help. Tomlinson couldn’t stick in Detroit for whatever reason but the 49ers traded for him in 2017 and he started for the team in the Super Bowl last month.
- Indianapolis Colts
My Pick: Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon
Actual Pick: Phillip Dorsett, WR, Miami(Fl)
Armstead didn’t make it down to 29 but the Colts ended up with his college teammate, DeForest Buckner, five years later. Phillip Dorsett was an exciting pick at the time for the Colts. With Andrew Luck at QB, Dorsett was met to be a great compliment to T.Y. Hilton at WR. Instead, he was traded for Jacoby Dorsett in 2017 but was apart of a Super Bowl winning team with the Patriots in 2018. He is currently a free agent.
- Green Bay Packers
My Pick: Benardrick McKinney, LB, Mississippi State
Actual Pick: Damarious Randall, S, Arizona State
The Packers could have went with McKinney who ended up being an All-Pro for Houston. Instead, they went safety with Randall and had mixed results. Randall was actually productive with Green Bay but they ended up trading him before the 2018 season. Randall was sent to Cleveland and is now a free agent.
31. New Orleans Saints
My Pick: Maxx Williams, TE, Minnesota
Actual Pick: Stephone Anthony, LB, Clemson
Anthony was a great athlete out of Clemson but he couldn’t stay healthy and he was traded off to Miami years later. He is currently out of the league. I thought the Saints would go tight end at the end of the first round. Maxx Williams was highly touted coming out of Minnesota but did very little, being drafted in the 2nd round by Baltimore.
32. New England Patriots
My Pick: Marcus Peters, CB, Washington
Actual Pick: Malcolm Brown, DT, Texas
It would have been so “Patriots” if they had drafted the troubled Peters coming out of Washington. Controversial young player gets straighten out and learns the championship way from Bill Belichick. It would have been so “them”. Instead, they made the obvious decision and took Brown who should have gone in the top 20. Brown went on to be an anchor on the Patriots defensive line, having apart of two Super Bowl winning defenses. And then, despite having success with him, the Patriots throw him away to New Orleans in a trade and he is still a beast. I still can’t believe Dallas took Byron Jones over him in this draft.